ABPW10 PGTW 241530
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/241530Z-250600ZOCT2007//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 14.5N 137.4E,
APPROXIMATELY 435 NM WEST OF GUAM. A 240636Z QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWS
SHARP TROUGHING UNDER FLARING CONVECTION SEEN IN ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A GOOD
CONNECTION TO A TUTT CELL TO THE EAST NEAR THE MARSHALL ISLANDS,
ENHANCING CONVECTION OVER THE CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVELS ARE FAVORABLE WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
AND GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1004 MB. DUE TO THE VERY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AND
CONSOLIDATING LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1)
FORECAST TEAM: CHARLIE//


ABPW10 PGTW 241530
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/241530Z-250600ZOCT2007//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 14.5N 137.4E,
APPROXIMATELY 435 NM WEST OF GUAM. A 240636Z QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWS
SHARP TROUGHING UNDER FLARING CONVECTION SEEN IN ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A GOOD
CONNECTION TO A TUTT CELL TO THE EAST NEAR THE MARSHALL ISLANDS,
ENHANCING CONVECTION OVER THE CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC). UPPER LEVELS ARE FAVORABLE WITH LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
AND GOOD DIVERGENCE ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT
15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR
1004 MB. DUE TO THE VERY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT AND
CONSOLIDATING LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS FAIR.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED AREA IN PARA 1.B.(1)
FORECAST TEAM: CHARLIE//